J
2019
Brent Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: Structural Break Insights
ČECHOVÁ ZÁVADSKÁ, Miroslava, Lucía MORALES a Joseph P COUGHLAN
Základní údaje
Originální název
Brent Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: Structural Break Insights
Autoři
ČECHOVÁ ZÁVADSKÁ, Miroslava (203 Česká republika, domácí), Lucía MORALES (203 Česká republika) a Joseph P COUGHLAN (203 Česká republika)
Vydání
Journal of Energy Markets, 2019, 1756-3607
Další údaje
Typ výsledku
Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor
50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics
Stát vydavatele
Spojené státy
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Kód RIV
RIV/26867184:_____/19:N0000040
Organizační jednotka
Moravská vysoká škola Olomouc
Klíčová slova anglicky
crude oil; spot and futures prices; cointegration; causality; structural break; crisis
V originále
The relationship between oil spot and futures prices has long been a focus of attention, but there is a lack of understanding about how these prices interact in times of crisis. Using cointegration and causality analysis, Brent crude spot and futures prices are examined before, during and after two different types of crises: (1) a supply-led event (the 1990–91 Gulf War) and (2) a demand-led event (the global financial crisis). Structural break analysis was employed to identify the subsamples to be studied. The core findings show evidence of a long-run bidirectional relationship between spot and futures prices. This study provides evidence that different types of crises engender different strengths of causal relationships between Brent crude spot and futures prices.
Zobrazeno: 1. 11. 2024 15:30